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Tajikistan Remote Monitoring Update, May 2013

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Well distributed spring rains likely to lead to an average to above average wheat harvest


• Remittances in April 2013 were at a record high for April at 267.6 million U.S. dollars, supported in part by a higher level of outmigration in 2013 which along with seasonally high labor demand, helped support seasonally improving food access.

• With regular spring rains, the slight increase in planted area, and field reports and satellite-derived products reporting above average vegetation conditions, the prospects for the 2013 wheat harvest in Tajikistan are good. The harvest is likely to be average to above average.

• Prices of wheat and wheat flour are likely to fall as the wheat harvest progresses in Tajikistan in June and July and also following the replenishment of Kazakhstan’s wheat stocks when the harvest starts in northern Kazakhstan in August. This should significantly increase regional wheat supply.