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GIEWS Country Briefs: Brazil 19-September-2012

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FOOD SECURITY SNAPSHOT

  • The 2012 aggregate maize production estimated at record level, while wheat production anticipated to decline

  • Exports of maize to increase in 2012/13 (April/March)

  • Domestic rice and wheat flour prices increased in the first half of September

The 2012 aggregate maize production estimated at a new record level but that of wheat to decline

Harvesting of the 2012 second season maize crops is virtually completed. This season’s output is officially estimated at a bumper level of 38.5 million tonnes, 74 percent higher than in the same season last year. This reflects an increase in the area planted in key growing areas of the Centre-West region and in the southern state of Paraná, in response to high prices and to compensate for crop losses during the first season, as well as favourable weather during the season. Harvesting of the 2012 main season maize crop was completed last May and the output was estimated at 34.2 million tonnes, close to the good level of the corresponding season in 2011, with increases in Minas Gerais state and in the Centre-West region offsetting a sharp reduction in Rio Grande do Sul state, severely affected by dry weather. In aggregate, the 2012 maize production (main and second seasons) is preliminary estimated at 72.8 million tonnes, 29 percent up from the 2011 previous record level.

The 2012 rice production is estimated some 15 percent down from last year’s level. This is mainly the result of a contraction in the sowed area compared to last year, due to higher production costs. Soybean production is estimated at some 66 million tonnes or 12 percent less than in 2011. The decline is the result of dry weather conditions during the growing period in the key southern producing areas, which more than offset a 4 percent year-on-year increase in the area planted.

Harvesting of 2012 wheat has just begun in the major producing areas of Rio Grande do Sul and Paraná. Official forecasts point to an output of 4.9 million tonnes, 14 percent lower than in 2011. The decrease is mainly the result of a 28 percent decline in the area planted in Paraná, following diversion of land to more profitable crops and significant lower yields in Rio Grande do Sul due to dry weather.

Planting of the 2013 first season maize and soybean crops has just started and recent rains have improved soil moisture favouring planting activities.