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Central Asia Food Security Outlook Update - January 2012

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Recent snowfall and below-normal temperatures in higher elevations alleviated concerns of short-term dryness in Afghanistan

Key Messages

• Early seasonal rainfall in October and November created good winter wheat sowing conditions. However, dry conditions prevailed over the central Afghanistan from mid-December to mid-January, increasing worries of a second underperforming wet season. Nonetheless, heavy precipitation that was received in late January filled deficits.

• Wheat flour prices in most of Afghanistan have been stable throughout the winter months and remain near the five-year average.

• Record high remittances received in Tajikistan will mitigate the effects of a slightly below-normal harvest and elevated food and diesel prices.