DROUGHT INTENSIFYING ACROSS NORTHERN CHUUK ISLANDS
EXTREME DROUGHT CONTINUES FOR THE NORTHERN MARSHALL ISLANDS
Updated to include northern islands of Chuuk State. See the "Summary of Impacts" and "Local Drought Outlook" section for details on impacts across the northern islands of Chuuk State.
La Nina continues based on large-scale oceanic and atmospheric conditions. A series of westerly wind bursts in December 2021 induced a downwelling oceanic kelvin wave. This downwelling kelvin wave is expected to set the stage for a weakening La Nina signal the next several months. It is possible an ENSO neutral pattern may set up by late spring. Overall expectations are for drought to continue to worsen across the northern Marshall Islands the next month or so before showers begin to pick up in March. This largely follows climatology and seasonal climate model guidance.