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Lamu County: Drought Early Warning Bulletin for October 2021

Govt. Kenya
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Drought Situation & EW Phase Classification

Biophysical Indicators

 The County received below average rainfall during the Month of October. However, the onset of the short rain is yet to be established.
 The vegetation condition Index (VCI-3Month) showed decrease of three percent when compared to previous month of September.
 The overall drought phase in the county was at Alarm and on worsening trend.
 Forage condition was poor across all livelihood zones during the month.

Socio Economic Indicators

Production indicators
 All livestock species exhibited fair to poor body condition.
 Crops farmers are currently at land preparation stages.
 Milk production was stable and below the LTA compared to previous month of September.

Access indicators
 Average Terms of Trade recorded a decrease compared to the previous month of September.
 Water access for both human and livestock was poor depending on the water sources available in the livelihood zone.
 Milk consumption deceased and lower than the long-term Average.

Utilization indicators
 The proportion of children at risk of malnutrition was currently increasing when compared to previous month but below average when compared to normal ranges.
 The average coping strategy decreased when compared to previous month of September.