Wet spell over northwest & adjoining central india during 28th February to 02nd March, 2020 due to an active western disturbance
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A Western Disturbance seen as a trough in mid & upper tropospheric westerlies with its axis at 5.8 Km above mean sea level runs roughly along Long. 57°E to the north of Lat. 28°N. Under its influence, an induced cyclonic circulation is likely to form over West Rajasthan & neighbourhood tomorrow.
Under its influence:
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Moderate fairly widespread to widespread rain/snowfall very likely over Western Himalayan region and scattered to fairly widespread rainfall very likely over adjoining plains on 28th & 29th February.
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Isolated thunderstorm accompanied with lightning & hail very likely over Western Himalayan region on 28th & 29th February. Isolated thunderstorm accompanied with lightning, hail & gusty winds (speed reaching 30-40 kmph) very likely over adjoining plains on 28th & 29th February.
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Isolated heavy rain/snow very likely over Jammu, Kashmir, Ladakh, Gilgit-Baltistan on 28th & 29th February and over Himachal Pradesh on 29th February.
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Due to convergence of lower level easterlies & westerlies isolated to scattered rainfall with isolated thunderstorm/hailstorm likely over Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha and Chhattisgarh on 29th February & 01st March.