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East Africa Seasonal Monitor: January 20, 2016

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Increased rainfall in December improves production prospects in the Eastern Horn

Key Messages

Rainfall performance has been above average in most areas that are depend on the October to December “short rains” season, mostly over the Eastern Horn of Africa. This rainfall, which is attributable to the very strong and ongoing El Niño event, created favorable conditions for crop production.

Although the seasonal rains were generally average to above average, they did cause flooding in localized areas of southern Somalia, Kenya, and Uganda. Moreover, rainfall was erratic and below average in marginal cropping areas in the southeastern lowlands of Kenya and southern Somalia.