Beneficial increase in rainfall along bimodal Gulf of Guinea regions and continued heavy rainfall across the far western Gulf of Guinea.
Many parts of the greater horn receive early season rains.
1) Poorly distributed rainfall has resulted in drought, which has severely impacted ground conditions and already led to livestock death across parts of northcentral and eastern Ethiopia.
2) Below-average rainfall since August has led to a strengthening of moisture deficits throughout several provinces in southern South Sudan and northern Uganda. Closer to normal rainfall is expected during the upcoming outlook period.
3) Below-average rainfall over several bimodal areas of Cote d’Ivoire, Ghana, Togo, Benin, and Nigeria has led to a rapid strengthening of moisture deficits and a degradation of ground conditions.